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Research Report

The reinvention imperative in the chemical industry

5-minute read

June 1, 2026

In brief

  • Traditional cost-reduction programs are no longer sufficient to return the industry to growth.

  • An AI-enabled chemical company is focused on the core of the industry: innovating, producing, selling.

  • Reinvention cannot be delegated. It requires explicit CEO ownership.

The state of the chemical industry

There is no longer the predictability that once allowed chemical companies to be managed through annual planning cycles, static cost centers and management approaches developed decades ago.

The speed, magnitude and frequency of change have increased materially—from geopolitical conflict and logistics disruptions to regulatory intervention and extreme weather events. These are no longer exceptions; they are structural features of the operating environment.

At the same time, the chemical industry faces industry-specific structural challenges: prolonged demand weakness in key end markets; overbuilt value chains with supply–demand imbalances extending into the next decade; demographic pressure from an approaching retirement cliff; and deeply embedded beliefs that slow decision-making and inhibit change.

The standard response has been repeated cost-reduction programs—headcount reductions, asset rationalization and spending freezes—using the same levers first deployed decades ago (Figure 1). The outcomes are increasingly insufficient.

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Chart showing traditional cost-reduction actions used by 15 chemical companies.
Chart showing traditional cost-reduction actions used by 15 chemical companies.

AI-based reinvention is a game changer

Reinvention represents a practical operating shift. It enables chemical companies to reconnect with the sources of advantage that defined past success, using a fundamentally different set of tools.

AI is the critical enabling technology. Large technology players are investing hundreds of billions of dollars annually, accelerating learning effects and widening performance gaps. In such environments, early advantage compounds.

Within the chemical industry, AI adoption has begun but remains uneven and materially slower than in many downstream industries. This creates a growing capability gap at precisely the moment when speed and precision matter most.

The highest-value AI use cases are not generic. They are specific to each company’s asset base, data footprint, operating model and customer set. Capturing them requires deliberate choices: where to focus, which capabilities to build, which tools to deploy and how fast to move.

The reinvented chemical company

A reinvented chemical company can operate at a level of consistency, speed and insight that is structurally out of reach today—from accelerated innovation based on decades of R&D data, to more stable and optimized production, to earlier and more precise understanding of customer demand.

A new performance frontier emerges: EBIT uplifts in the order of 60–80%, driven by structurally lower costs combined with faster growth that is enabled by new capabilities (Figure 2).

Chart explaining how speed, differentiation, simplification and performance improve in a reinvented company.
Chart explaining how speed, differentiation, simplification and performance improve in a reinvented company.

How work and organizations change

In a reinvented company, work itself is fundamentally different.

The shift is from small lab teams with one Ph.D. and two to three technicians supported by limited analytics to AI systems that explore and test new unexplored option spaces 24/7.

Operations move from being primarily experience‑driven to continuously optimized through AI‑supported recommendations based on decades of operational data.

Intuition-led human approaches are augmented with AI-generated insights into customer value chains, enabling more targeted, fact-based engagement.

These shifts reshape the workforce. Humans and AI increasingly work together, with AI augmenting—not replacing—critical human judgment.

The role of the CEO

Reinvention cannot be delegated. It requires explicit CEO ownership. This is not about sponsoring pilots or endorsing technology agendas. It is about setting a clear ambition that goes beyond incremental improvement, breaking functional silos that slow decision making and reshaping how work is delivered end-to-end.

CEOs must actively steer the transition to new operating models in which humans and AI work together at scale, while remaining accountable for outcomes. Resistance is not an exception in this process; it is a predictable consequence of meaningful change and must be managed explicitly.

In short, reinvention is a leadership responsibility, not an operational initiative.

This includes:

  • Setting a clear ambition that goes beyond incremental improvement—targets that reflect structural change rather than 5–10% optimization.

  • Leading the break-up of functional silos and establishing true end-to-end accountability.

  • Steering the transition to new delivery models where humans and AI collaborate, with humans remaining in the lead where judgment and accountability matter.

  • Actively managing employee resistance to change—not as an exception, but as a predictable outcome of meaningful change.

From proof to scale

Across the industry, the value pockets are increasingly clear—faster innovation cycles, lower back office costs, improved asset performance and more targeted commercial execution.

Many organizations already have pilots and early results that validate this potential. The real race now is not to experiment further, but to scale—across processes, functions and the full enterprise.

Companies that combine foresight with speed of execution will be best positioned to capture the next phase of growth.

Reinvention is a deliberate choice

Reinvention is often described as a leap of faith. In reality, it is a deliberate choice; and the real decision lies in whether leadership is willing to commit to reinvention at scale.

What is ultimately at stake is the confidence that the chemical industry can continue to operate at the frontier of innovation, and that today’s leaders will leave behind a legacy of transformation rather than gradual retreat.

WRITTEN BY

Dr. Bernd Elser

Senior Managing Director – Global Lead for Chemicals and Natural Resources

Serge Lhoste

Managing Director – Global Chemicals Strategy Lead

Sachin Kumar Chaudhary

Global Lead – Chemicals and Natural Resources Thought Leadership & Research