There is something different about our current business environment. Around the world, business people perceive that things are more chaotic—that risk is more ubiquitous, outcomes less predictable and the pace of change more rapid. This perception is quite real. In fact, various indices show that volatility—the result of tumultuous political, environmental, technological and financial events—is double that of any point in the past 30 years. It should not be surprising, therefore, that more than 80 percent of executives responding to a recent Accenture survey have questioned the resilience of their supply chains.
This state of permanent volatility is unlikely to subside anytime soon, and no business process appears to be affected more directly or heavily than supply chain management.
Consider some of the ways that volatility affects supply chain management. Governmental and political issues directly influence currency rates, which in turn impact the supply chain. Fluctuating commodity prices are another contributor to permanent volatility. Oil is the most obvious case, but prices are oscillating just as violently in other areas.
Even “natural” events have been wreaking increasing havoc on people, property and supply chains. For a considerable time, the Japanese tsunami depressed the stock prices of most consumer electronics companies.
The net effect is that permanent volatility—multiple events (large or small, gradual or instant, man-made or natural) hitting simultaneously with increasing frequency, intensity and pace—is not going away anytime soon.