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Accenture’s research report, Betting on Science, Disruptive Technologies in Transport Fuels, identifies 12 technologies that have the potential to disrupt current supply, demand and GHG forecasts.
It profiles 25 companies bringing these technologies to market and assesses the level of private activity in 10 countries and summarizes their local regulatory landscape.
The study comprised significant primary and secondary research, including analysis of more than 100 companies and interviews with leading scientists and more than 30 companies. Accenture defined disruptive fuel technologies as those that:
In this 300-page report, Accenture’s global team of more than 15 people, have demystified these technologies—by providing data on when and what the trajectory might be for commercial viability—and to highlight the key challenges in economically bringing these technologies to market.
Accenture concludes that, while all 12 technologies are in development today, they may not all be successfully brought to market. To improve the chances of commercialization, policy makers will need to take action.
To order the full hard copy report click here.
Never before has there been so much uncertainty about the future supply and demand for hydrocarbons. There are a number of reasons for this, but technology assumptions are a key driver.
New technologies that have higher yields per unit of energy input or allow new sources of energy to be cost competitive have the potential to completely change future supply and demand levels. In addition, options to reduce greenhouse gases will vary from those being considered today.
However, in most future energy scenario forecasts, the “disruptive” impact of specific technologies is a factor that is rarely explored in any detail.
The report makes three key findings:
The diversity of new fuel technologies in each local market has the potential to allow governments to better meet energy security and economic development needs than globally traded hydrocarbons do today. Although most technologies will be widely available, local conditions will determine different weightings, with Brazil focusing on sugar cane-based fuels, South Korea and Japan on electrification, and China and the United States on all fuel options.
The study concludes that, while all 12 technologies are in development today, they may not all be available or successfully brought to market. To improve the chances of commercialisation, policy makers will be required to:
Accenture suggests that businesses in the market of new transport fuels must consider key actions:
November 4, 2009
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