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Fortune Favors the Innovative: How New Forms of e-Commerce Will
Transform the Business Landscape
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u-Commerce has the potential to transform the business landscape. Although there will undoubtedly be risks for early movers, the payoff for companies that get the change right could be substantial. In fact, our research shows that businesses that moved early with e-Commerce were also the most successful with it. By taking advantage of u-Commerce opportunities now, some businesses are already positioning themselves to overcome the impact of economic recession and build real long-term competitive advantage.
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Many businesses are currently facing the threat of global economic recession. For some months now, we have seen a growing number of profit warnings and increased job losses, particularly in the high-technology sector. The impression that many are left with is that now is not the right time to invest in their e-Commerce operations.
But nothing could be further from the truth. A majority of businesses are currently increasing their investment in e-Commerce, and the opportunities are still huge. Despite economic uncertainty, more than 80 percent of executives in Europe, Japan and the United States expect e-Commerce to deliver more change over the next three years than it has over the past three.
The findings are part of a recent Accenture study, “The Unexpected eEurope”. The study, which draws on interviews with 840 executives in 25 countries, is the first in-depth analysis of executive attitudes toward e-Commerce since the onset of the current economic slowdown. It finds a surprisingly high level of interest in the adoption of new technologies to reduce costs, improve services and thereby overcome the impact of global economic recession.
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Future opportunities for change will come not only from PC-based wireline e-Commerce—now often referred to as “traditional” e-Commerce—but also from new forms of commerce, including wireless, television, voice and silent commerce. In fact, 83 percent of the executives in the Accenture study expect these new waves of change to provide more business opportunities over the next three years than traditional e-Commerce.
Businesses across the globe will substantially increase their adoption of new forms of e-Commerce over the next three years (see Figure 1).
 - Wireless commerce, combining wireless
technology with mobile phones, laptop computers and other hand-held devices,
will increase dramatically. Despite recent doubts about the demand for wireless
services, 52 percent of executives report that their companies will pursue
significant wireless commerce opportunities. This is more than three times as
many companies as are doing so today.
- Voice commerce, including automated
speech-recognition, text-to-speech and voice-identification technologies, will
provide a low-cost natural interface to electronic channels. Thirty percent of
businesses, five times as many as today, will use voice commerce within the
next three years.
- Television commerce, which takes
advantage of digital television’s capacity for interactivity, will bring
e-Commerce into every home. Twenty-eight percent of the companies in our study
will use television commerce within the next three years, a sevenfold increase
over the current four percent.
- Silent commerce refers to the business
opportunities arising from the ability to use tiny, inexpensive microprocessors
and tags to track and monitor products and pieces of equipment, as well as to
increase the level of automation in the manufacturing processes. Executives
report that the use of silent commerce technology will increase sixfold over the next three years. The
enabling technologies are not new; what is new is the affordability of
attaching these microprocessors and tags to everyday objects, which rapidly
increases the number of economically attractive applications.
We believe that, taken together, the combination of wireless, television,
voice and silent commerce with more traditional wired e-Commerce will create a
new business environment—always on, always aware, always active. Instead of
e-Commerce, it will become more accurate to speak of ubiquitous commerce, or
u-Commerce:
the continuous stream of communications, content and services exchanged among
consumers, businesses, suppliers and systems.
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The global economic slowdown is placing pressure on companies to reduce costs while retaining and maximizing the value of their existing customers. Under these economic conditions, businesses are being forced to look to u-Commerce as a critical enabler of innovation and competitive advantage.
Far from slowing the pace of innovation, our research shows that despite the threat of recession, 82 percent of executives believe that their companies will depend more on innovation over the next three years than they do today. u-Commerce will spur innovation by enabling:
- Improved operating efficiency. By giving
remote workers the ability to remain in continuous contact with central
databases, u-Commerce will increase employee efficiency.
- Enhanced customer services. u-Commerce
will extend the reach of low-cost electronic channels beyond the PC, to the
telephone, television and other personal devices.
- Increased service personalization. By
allowing services to be tailored to the individual user’s needs and location,
u-Commerce will increase the personalization of services.
- Continuous supply chain connectivity.
u-Commerce will enable continuous connectivity between customers, employees and
everyday objects. The Accenture study provides more than a dozen examples of
how businesses are already using silent commerce to make operating processes
more efficient, improve employee safety and enhance security.
Executives already recognize that u-Commerce will deliver strategic benefits in many areas. Ninety-two percent of the executives surveyed say they will pursue new forms of e-Commerce to provide better service, 77 percent want to exploit new sources of revenues, and 65 percent want to reduce their operating costs.
u-Commerce Adoption Pace
Dramatic growth will not happen immediately. Only 20 percent of the businesses planning to go ahead with u-Commerce projects in the next three years will start in the first year. Twenty-nine percent expect to start the following year, while 51 percent anticipate getting started in the third year. When executives were asked what was preventing the earlier adoption of u-Commerce, more than half cited the need to first get their existing e-Commerce initiatives fully established.
The research results indicate that there may be a significant shift in business activity over the next 12 months. During this time executives should be able to resolve issues with existing e-Commerce initiatives, see the results of their past efforts more clearly and gradually shift their attention toward pursuing new u-Commerce opportunities. If this trend coincides with the general improvement of the economy, the pace of u-Commerce adoption could accelerate considerably.
Authors Glover T. Ferguson, partner-Accenture Chief Scientist, heads Accenture Technology Labs.
Chikatomo K. Hodo is a partner-Accenture Corporate Strategy, Communications industry group.
Rosemary M. O’Mahony is a partner-Accenture Technology Solutions, Resources industry group.
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